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I am a consultant and analyst with eight years of military law enforcement experience, six years of analytical experience covering Latin America, and over seven years of analytical experience covering Mexican TCOs and border violence issues. This blog is designed to inform readers about current border violence issues and provide analysis on those issues, as well as detailed focus on specific border topics. By applying my knowledge and experience through this blog, I hope to separate the wheat from the chaff...that is, dispel rumors propagated by sensationalist media reporting, explain in layman's terms what is going on with Mexican TCOs, and most importantly, WHY violence is happening along the US-Mexico border.

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With over a dozen years of combined experience in military law enforcement, force protection analysis, and writing a variety of professional products for the US Air Force, state government in California, and the general public, Ms. Longmire has the expertise to create a superior product for you or your agency to further your understanding of Mexico’s drug war. Longmire Consulting is dedicated to being on the cusp of the latest developments in Mexico in order to bring you the best possible analysis of threats posed by the drug violence south of the border.

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June 02, 2012

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When considering how things move from one area to another, or one country to another, you have to look at all modes of transportation,not just the one(s) that the politicians and the media like to play with. As well as surface transportation (road, rail, pied-a-terre), there is air (commercial & private) and maritime (pleasure & commercial). There are, as I recall, 9 commercial maritime ports on the eastern coast of Mexico, and all of them are controlled by Los Zetas.

When I was with DEA we asked the Mexican Govt to try to interdict the drugs coming North. Their response was "Well, you are providing the suction. Nothing we can do."
Now, the Mexican Govt is saying "Hey! How about stopping the weapons from coming South!"
Hmmm. The response seems obvious. But that doesn't help with the overall issue.

Why are our troops in far flung places when we need to address OUR issues?

I am no expert on the mechanics of weapons trafficking to Mexico, however it is interesting to note that Nicaraguan Armed Forces and to a lesser extent the Salvadoran military both field RPG-7s. While the RPGs pictured here may indeed look too new to be ex Salvadoran Civil War examples, these could be former Nicaraguan examples, product of some robbing like it frequently happens in Central American weapons stores... This is merely an hypothesis but much like Galil assault rifles found in Mexico are likely to be coming either from police armoury robbings in Honduras or Guatemala these RPGs could well be another product inbound from Central America...

Understanding weapons trafficking to Mexico has not been helped by our own DOJ and ATF facilitating firearms trafficking through Operation "Fast & Furious" (and others) - for their own ulterior motives. Up until this "Felony Stupid" operation, the AVERAGE age of firearms traced back to the United States from Mexico was over 14 years. If there was an "Iron River" of firearms (as claimed by ATF) being smuggled into Mexico, then the average age of traced firearms would certainly be much less.

For their own purposes, our own Government has been deliberately misleading the American People (and the rest of the world) by issuing propaganda and hyperbole instead of fact. (The infamous and false statistic that 90% of seized Mexican guns came from the U.S., for example)

If the United States wanted to effectively deal with smuggling guns across the border into Mexico, then we would be inspecting outbound vehicles going into Mexico. But it's so much easier to issue propaganda and hyperbole, and blame "lax laws", gun shows and U.S. gun shops......

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