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I am a consultant and analyst with eight years of military law enforcement experience, six years of analytical experience covering Latin America, and over four years of analytical experience covering Mexican DTOs and border violence issues. This blog is designed to inform readers about current border violence issues and provide analysis on those issues, as well as detailed focus on specific border topics. By applying my knowledge and experience through this blog, I hope to separate the wheat from the chaff...that is, dispel rumors propagated by sensationalist media reporting, explain in layman's terms what is going on with Mexican TCOs, and most importantly, WHY violence is happening along the US-Mexico border.

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With over a dozen years of combined experience in military law enforcement, force protection analysis, and writing a variety of professional products for the US Air Force, state government in California, and the general public, Ms. Longmire has the expertise to create a superior product for you or your agency to further your understanding of Mexico’s drug war. Longmire Consulting is dedicated to being on the cusp of the latest developments in Mexico in order to bring you the best possible analysis of threats posed by the drug violence south of the border.

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November 25, 2011

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Sylvia-

I have tremendous respect for your efforts, but I have to disagree with your conclusion (spare some anger for those responsible for F&F).

As a person who spends 6 months of the year in Mexico (until this year), my life was definitely endangered by the actions of the US government's misguided actions.

As I drove back to the US past year, I worried constantly about how much the intentionally increased number of weapons due to F&F would endanger me and my family... who would not? And who would not be angered by that?

Also, it's naive to think that F&F was out of control by accident. Consider the earlier promotion of the idea that "90% of guns in Mexico are from the US" by the likes of Hilary Clinton.... absolute garbage, spread for the sole purpose of closing gun shops. That "fact" was in danger of being discredited... until actions were taken by the BATF to make it so, in F&F.

It's difficult not to feel anger for Fast and Furious.

It is true that the one who pulled the trigger was a drug cartel member.

It is true that the weapon that killed agent Terry isn't there to verify it was part of Fast and Furious.

What is true is that the deaths of 200 people have been linked to those weapons; each one of those as important and as sad as agent Terry's case.

In those 200 cases the weapon was recovered. How many deaths are related to weapons that were never recovered?

@Neglected War and @Hugo - But who pulled the trigger in those 200 cases? And wouldn't those deaths still have occurred with other weapons had F&F never existed? I find it incredibly ironic that the pro-gun lobby LOVES the mantra that "guns don't kill people, people kill people." Yet so many people are blaming the F&F guns for these deaths instead of the Mexican narcos who are using them.

A trafficker pulled the trigger, but who put the weapon on those hands?

Most of those deaths wouldn't have occurred. In the case of Mexico, where guns are forbidden, the moment you give a gun to a man, you create a gunman.

The ultimate responsible is the one who pulled the trigger, but the one who creates the conditions shares responsibility.

The one who pulls the trigger is called assassin. The one who provides the weapon is called accessory to murder.

I'm "Pro Gun", but sadly yes, a gun took that agents life. I live in Yuma, and have friends who were shot at while building the new fence. It is everywhere. What I'm tired of, is Mexico's whining about the number of guns "flowing south", but they do ZERO about it. Well, except cry and point fingers. Now when you drive in to Mexico the US searches your car GOING IN, as well as coming out. But as soon as you pass the check point, the Mexicans don't even look at you! Why are they not filling these border check points with their agents looking for these gun? Why do they not ask us for gun/cash-sniffing dogs to help find them? Why are they not searching the cars for the cash? Oh yah, I forget how corrupt they are. And I mean, everyone! If they (Mexican officials) "found" the guns hidden in the car, it would end their life. If they found cash, it would get split up between the workers that day (then end their life). To me, it shows that they (Mexico's Government) just doesn't care. We search everyone going in to Mexico for guns and cash, and search everyone coming out for drugs (and a long list of other things). They look for NOTHING. Face it, Mexico will get guns. We are the path of least resistance, but there are many paths. Mexico is stuck in a situation created by corruption and greed. They see what is in their pocket today instead of what could be in the bank in a few years. It's sad, and the honest hard working people who are left are getting hurt the worst. Remember that guns are illegal in Mexico, and that means the bad guys will always have the guns, and defending yourself is an impossibility. From a different angle, F&F looks like an attempt to show everyone how bad guns are, how easy they are to get, and a platform to say "See, we should outlaw them all together!". But it exploded in their faces. Guns don't kill people, bad people use guns to kill people. And knives, ropes, zip ties, chainsaws...........yada yada yada.

@Neglected War - I'm sorry, but I think it's naïve to think that most of those deaths wouldn't have occurred. Do you really believe that those killers would have not obtained guns elsewhere? Remember, they get their guns from stash houses across Mexico, which contain guns from several different places. If you believe the NRA, most of the guns in those stash houses come from within Mexico and central America. There are also tens of thousands of non-F&F guns floating around Mexico - F&F only contributed 2,000. To say those guys never would have become hitmen or taken money from a cartel to kill other people under orders if F&F had never existed is illogical.

It's become all to obvious "The purpose of F&F was to create a false crisis for political gain, as part of Obama's notorious "under the radar" anti-gun campaign."

And I believe F & F show's the real racism of the Obama administration, they didn't care how many Mexicans were killed in there quest for there anti-gun political agenda.

Yes we are at war and there are a lot of weapons out there I would like to offer 2 articles on none U.S. sources.
http://www.insightcrime.org/criminal-activities/arms-trafficking/item/1774-weapons-ammo-stolen-from-honduras-police-warehouse

http://insightcrime.org/insight-latest-news/item/1827-3000-guns-disappear-in-honduras

Sylvia, I agree that the ultimate responsibility for the deaths caused by the 2000 F&F guns smuggled lie with the carteleros and that they have access to a virtually unlimited supply of non-F&F weapons from the US and other countries.

However, that does not absolve the responsibilty of the ATF for it's incredibly stupid program. This undercover operation (UCO) was presumably devised and approved at the Phoenix field office level, then appoved again at the ATF HQ level. Then after the program began and it was clear that the UCO operatives were losing control of the weapons and unable to monitor their whereabouts, ATF field office and HQ failed to take decisive action to change or halt the program.

It was only after the weapon was found at agent Terry's crime scene that it was untenable for ATF to keep the lid on a failed program.

Whether a specific F&F weapon was used to harm agent Terry is less significant then the fact that individuals who have the intent and desire to attack US Border Patrol agents are using F&F weapons.

This type of management failure at ATF HQ level makes it difficult for us to credibly criticize the Mexican government for it's law enforcement failures.

Let's not forget that ATF (and the government in general) has a stake in rising crime levels. It's why they get paid. And if a promotional operation like F&F also furthers the suspicion of Second Amendment freedoms, then two birds with one stone. Of course, there's always the risk of getting caught, but in a society where everyone is guilty of something, the potential for deterring consequences is low.

Let's face it. If every American source for Mexican drug guns was pinched off today, by next week they'd be unloading a ship packed with AK47s in a major port city. And if by some miracle this was prevented, two months later, a factory would be set up deep in the Mexican mountains to produce the things, with critical parts shipped in from any number of cash-poor failed states. If US guns play a role at all, it's primarily a result of criminal intent such as F&F.

It's worth remembering it was ATF, under a previous gun-hating administration, who also brought us the Branch Davidian nightmare. Waco began as a less ambitious, but similarly-themed, fund-raising operation aimed at creating distrust of a fundamental constitutional American right.

I'm astounded and saddened by the naïveté of the American people and their willingness to continue admiring the emperor's clothes.

First you have to understand that there was no attempt to follow the guns anywhere. With that not just said but fact, you have to look else where to find the reason for F&F as it was not to trace guns. The most likely answer comes from Eric Holder and the DOJ as at the same time that F&F was going on the DOJ had a propaganda campaign going on that stated that 90% of the guns going to the cartels were from US gun dealers. ask your self if that makes sense? Well it dose if your true motive is to destroy the second amendment of the US constitution. One other question you should ask your self is should the people of the US give up there right to have and bear fire arms to a government that is willing to be a party to murder and violate crime to get there political way? No is the answer as there is no difference between them and the people they have chosen as partners in crime.

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