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I am a consultant and analyst with eight years of military law enforcement experience, six years of analytical experience covering Latin America, and over seven years of analytical experience covering Mexican TCOs and border violence issues. This blog is designed to inform readers about current border violence issues and provide analysis on those issues, as well as detailed focus on specific border topics. By applying my knowledge and experience through this blog, I hope to separate the wheat from the chaff...that is, dispel rumors propagated by sensationalist media reporting, explain in layman's terms what is going on with Mexican TCOs, and most importantly, WHY violence is happening along the US-Mexico border.


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June 14, 2011


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Another excellent annalist, I will disagree with very little here. You may easily convince me that we need a "requirement to report sales of multiple long guns". I do not believe "the TCO need for guns is ultimately derived from US demand for drugs" I used to but reevaluated after reading stratfor and some other's

Corruption: Why Texas Is Not Mexico is republished with permission of STRATFOR.

I am just curious how firearms can be traced to almost anywhere but the US. We're the only country I'm aware of proximate to Mexico with a serial numbering system (excluding Mexico itself).

Perhaps you (and the other readers) would like to read this account of 'Operation Gunwalker':

United States House of Representatives
Committee on Oversight and Government Reform &
United States Senate Committee on the Judiciary

"Department of Justice’s Operation Fast and Furious: Accounts of ATF Agents"

And you are obviously a republican.

In October 2010, ATF said many guns used by Mexican cartels are bought in the United States, with Arizona and Texas being major sources, but said they will no longer release estimates of how many because the numbers have become too politicized.

Too politicized? Right. Then, less than a year later, ATF gladly released new figures to Democrat Senators Feinstein, Schumer and Whitehouse for political reasons!

Remember that the only guns which can be successfully traced have a U.S. origin, thus any ATF statistic showing the percentage of successful traces is absolute nonsense. Any statistic showing numbers of successful traces is further nonsense. Why? According to Colby Goodman in his latest report, ATF statistics include thousands of duplicate traces! Mexican authorities are submitting the same gun up to five times. Further, ATF includes all legitimate U.S. sales in their statistics, such as legitimate military, police and commercial sales. In addition, ATF includes low-powered .22 rabbit rifles and hunting shotguns in their traces. All these factors combine to make the numbers and statistics meaningless.

Are some firearms coming from commercial straw sales in the United States? Certainly. And, despite denials from ATF and DOJ, we now know with certainty, that thousands of straw sales (2500 at latest count) intended for Mexico, were specifically permitted, encouraged and facilitated by ATF under Operation Fast and Furious. Outrageous and tragic.....

I agree with your conclusion - that no one knows for certain the percentage of where all the guns came from. Of course, that doesn't stop dubious and inflated numbers and percentages from being used for political purposes - especially by Democrat Senators Feinstein, Schumer and Whitehouse.

"I just don't get why anyone without bad intentions would want to buy eight AR-15s for personal use and sporting purposes."

Alot of people like to invest in firearms because some of them beome valuable when they are restricted. Look at what happened to transferable machine guns after the 1986 legislation. The value of those weapons skyrocketed. That is the same situation so called "assault weapons" face. An example wuld be the early Chinese Norinco and Poly Tech AK-47's that you could buy for $300 in the 80's that now go for $1500+. These can no longer be imported.

I've seen alot of people at gun stores/shows in Arizona buy multiple Ak-47's and AR-15's. They almost always say it's because they can be banned at any moment, their value goes up, fear of 2012, potential for civil war or foreign invasion in America etc.

It just doesn't become an issue unless they're Hispanic, then if they like to shoot guns recreationally or exercise their 2nd amendment rights they must be up to something criminal.

There is some confusion created intentionally around so called assault weapons to promote the idea that they are not needed. In fact an assault weapon or military grade weapon functions diffrently. It fires full auto or multiple shots for one pull of the trigger.

The AR15 or AK47 style rifles available to the US through gun stores are by law different. They must be "sportsterized" by US law and contain US made parts. They are semi automatic and fire one shot for one pull of the trigger not unlike a revolver. These are NOT assault weapons and few assault teams would choose them. They are visual facsimiles with sporting purposes.

There are a very few automatic and military weapons owned by civiians, under special licensing by the BATF, but they have been banned since 1937 and the days of Bonnie and Clyde and G-Men chasing them. No assault weapon ban is neeeded as they have been banned for some 75 years.

To think that someone would suggest the US needs an assault weapon ban because of what is going on in another country is ludicrous. While they permit guns to be imported freely and do not enforce their laws. Are we responsible for that? And we have export laws already that prohibit gun transport to foreign countries. Gun bans target law abiding citizens, not the criminals.

Can you do a future post on the vigilante group (CCJ) out of Juarez. I know this group is a couple years old but wondering about your take on it.

"I just don't get why anyone without bad intentions would want to buy eight AR-15s for personal use and sporting purposes."

Here is the 2nd amendment to help you figure it out:
"A well regulated militia being necessary to the security of a free State, the right of the People to keep and bear arms shall not be infringed."

I don't see anything there about personal use or sporting purposes. We have the RIGHT to own weapons because we have the DUTY to protect ourselves and our families, and the duty to ensure the government does not become a tyranny. Saying that I cannot own the same weapons that our military has is like saying one of the founders could not own a musket (which was hi tech military equipment of their time) but instead could only have a sword. The government has no right under natural law and is explicitly forbidden under the Constitution, to regulate what arms I own. The states might if you adhered to the intent of the Constitution and their State Constitutions allow it, but the 14th amendment has be perverted to allow the incorporation of the bill of rights into every state which was not the original intent of the bill of rights or the 14th amendment.

If you want to see what further gun restrictions will lead to take a visit to Mexico or any large US city where the liberals have infringed on this basic right. When folks talk about the large amount of gun violence in the US I have yet to see a study that removes those cities who have taken away this basic right and where the criminals are the only ones with the guns: it is those places that have large amounts of gun crime.

"A free people ought not only to be armed and disciplined, but they should have sufficient arms and ammunition to maintain a status of independence from any who might attempt to abuse them, which would include their own government.''
- George Washington

"I just don't get why anyone without bad intentions would want to buy eight AR-15s for personal use and sporting purposes."

with the way things are going, if you want a good investment this would be a good buy. You should also look into buying some Saiga 12's since the ATF is considering banning their import due to their lack of "sporting purpose"

Were there any federal gun laws prior to the 1930's? Why is that? What happened in the 1930's to make this expansion of federal power acceptable?

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