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I am a consultant and analyst with eight years of military law enforcement experience, six years of analytical experience covering Latin America, and over seven years of analytical experience covering Mexican TCOs and border violence issues. This blog is designed to inform readers about current border violence issues and provide analysis on those issues, as well as detailed focus on specific border topics. By applying my knowledge and experience through this blog, I hope to separate the wheat from the chaff...that is, dispel rumors propagated by sensationalist media reporting, explain in layman's terms what is going on with Mexican TCOs, and most importantly, WHY violence is happening along the US-Mexico border.


With over a dozen years of combined experience in military law enforcement, force protection analysis, and writing a variety of professional products for the US Air Force, state government in California, and the general public, Ms. Longmire has the expertise to create a superior product for you or your agency to further your understanding of Mexico’s drug war. Longmire Consulting is dedicated to being on the cusp of the latest developments in Mexico in order to bring you the best possible analysis of threats posed by the drug violence south of the border.

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June 24, 2011


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Divide and conquer. Divide and conquer. Divide and conquer. Divide and conquer.

The TCOs (DTOs) disdain for the government, over-estimation of their own strength and hunger for power will lead to more and more splits. It took two years for the first large split (BLO) and then the next big split was a year later (Zetas). Then 'El Teo' split from AFO. Now La Familia. And each time it lead to increased internecine fighting.

Who's next?

I would think the greatest violence will occur as the Zeta's continue to take on the Sinaloa cartel. Despite being psychopaths the Sinaloa cartel is a stabilizing force in Western Mexico and SW US (as opposed to the mess south of Texas). There has been some violence in central/western Mexico which is increase but there will probably be some in Arizona which has a major drug (Tucson) and human (Phoenix) distribution hubs in the US. The Zeta's are operating in AZ (Phoenix, Yuma, etc) and it will only be time before they begin to disrupt the plaza.

If you live in AZ start to open carry and get to know your local PD (in a contructive way). If you live in CA, you are screwed.

"If you live in AZ start to open carry and get to know your local PD (in a contructive way). If you live in CA, you are screwed.

Looks like, "{Arizona} has become a country {state} of people rather than a country {state} of laws."

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