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I am a consultant and analyst with eight years of military law enforcement experience, six years of analytical experience covering Latin America, and over seven years of analytical experience covering Mexican TCOs and border violence issues. This blog is designed to inform readers about current border violence issues and provide analysis on those issues, as well as detailed focus on specific border topics. By applying my knowledge and experience through this blog, I hope to separate the wheat from the chaff...that is, dispel rumors propagated by sensationalist media reporting, explain in layman's terms what is going on with Mexican TCOs, and most importantly, WHY violence is happening along the US-Mexico border.

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With over a dozen years of combined experience in military law enforcement, force protection analysis, and writing a variety of professional products for the US Air Force, state government in California, and the general public, Ms. Longmire has the expertise to create a superior product for you or your agency to further your understanding of Mexico’s drug war. Longmire Consulting is dedicated to being on the cusp of the latest developments in Mexico in order to bring you the best possible analysis of threats posed by the drug violence south of the border.

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May 21, 2011

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Found your site as I was agonizing about the rampant drug murders in Mexico. This is what I think. The truth is very powerful. We in the U.S. are not telling ourselves the truth so we cannot help our neighbors in Mexico. The truth is not popular here. It is that those who buy illegal drugs here bear as much responsibility as the American and Mexican dealers for the destruction and murder reigning over our border. Supposedly addicts are all victims and ill so they are not held responsible for their behavior. Rubbish. Yes, addictions are hellish traps that drown even strong people but no one ever overcame an addiction without taking responsibility for the destruction caused by their choices. The "Just Say No " campaign was the most effective American campaign against illegal drug abuse because it demanded people take responsibility for their actions. Experts today fly into a rage against any suggestion addicts should be considered partly responsible for the horrors just beyond our border. But they are wrong. We cannot help Mexico if we continue to deny the simple truth about our role in the violence. This makes me very sad. I am very sorry for our role in Mexico's drug war.

use a wide range of legally prescribed pain reducing medicines.) To begin, we have already tried and to some extent are still jailing addicts and users to no avail, except perhaps to fill up the prisons. Illegal trade in narcotics is simply that, murder and mayhem is an entity all it’s own. Simply because some high school or collage kids want to get together and smoke some grass does not make them murders, any more so than it did the soldiers who severed in Vietnam when My Lai went down. While have my suspicions I really don’t know exactly what is taking place in Mexico, but I feel certain it is less about the reported ‘’drug routes’’ than it is about something else. Cheryl from the words in your post I know you are concerned with a true heart of this mess we have, at least seeming with Illegal Narcotics at it’s base. I stand here today to tell you that it’s not about narcotics. I ask not that you simply take my word for that, but that you do your own research and decide for yourself. In this ’’age of the internet’’ you have plenty of source information to easily view, however let me suggest that you start your research with this book: To Have and To Hold, by John Hendrix.

In the same boat, grab and oar please: Fred

"Simply because some high school or collage kids want to get together and smoke some grass does not make them murders, any more so than it did the soldiers who severed in Vietnam when My Lai went down."
It does not make them murderers but it does make them criminals. EVERYONE who uses marijuana in the US is a criminal. It is against federal law. Not every vet in Vietnam was a criminal. The drug users do support murderers in their use of thier drug so they are murderers in conspiracy.

Thanks for playing and perhaps it is time for you to adjust your prescriptions.

Yes that’s right, let us be concerned with my medication and make snide remarks about my coming to play here with you. If that’s all you’ve got ''hero'', which I’m quite certain is the case, you’ll have to play with yourself.

Good day,
Fred

A couple of thoughts on this. I have enjoyed your perspective on the unfolding drug war. I live in Northern Mexico and have witnessed events and have met people from the whole spectrum of this society over the last couple years.

To the previous posters and their blame on Americans: people are going to use drugs and that's just reality. They always have and always will. We can debate about ethics and prohibition all day, but demand is very inelastic (people will pay lot to continue their habits). Its not Americans that got Mexico into this mess, although many people here love to blame the US for their issues.

From what I have seen, corruption and weak institutions bear the vast responsibility for current issues here. If Phoenix was not supported by a strong law enforcement community, there would be many more blatant crimes that we see all over the borderland region (on the south side at least...)

The US drug market does nothing to help the situation, but consider Canada: overrun with grow operations, and a significant organized crime presence, with almost no violence.

Social stratification: I'm a little surprised to read your comment that there aren't a lot of rich people in Mexico. The vast majority of capital here is owned by the rich, and there are a reasonable proportion of them. Its old money and descends from landowners in the past. Every city I see here has a surprisingly large development of mansions. But most people are poor, with a despicable education system, tarnished dignity, little chance at upward mobility and a continually rising cost of living.

So I feel this situation basically boil down to this:

1. Powerful groups can easily operate outside the law. Crime is far worse than most people think, we've all seen or experienced it. In places, corruption goes right to the top.

2. Millions of youth in the cycle of poverty are continually faced with the same question: (Die broke and sick at 50, or die at 25 with your head up - with a house and car for your family, with respect and dignity.)

3. Scale - $40bn a year is a LOT of money, and expenses are a fraction of it. Its a torrent of wealth flowing south. Mexico benefits massively from this capital, even if only 20% "trickles down".

Until Mexico offers long-term solutions to these two problems, this situation will continue.

@My Name - That was one of the best comments I've read in quite some time. Bravo, and don't be too scared of the folks here :). They're good people. We get on each others' nerves sometimes - especially if the topics of guns and immigration come up - but they're generally respectful and interested in learning and sharing enough to keep it clean.

Frankly I find it hard to believe that anyone would be willing to invest $500k in any foreign country without an assurance that they would have a long term visa in order to monitor or supervise their investment.

Most of the countries in the world have residency visas that a foreigner can qualify for by showing that: (1) they have a retiree pension of at least $400-2000 a month (2) are willing to make a substanial business investment or (3) are a person of means, which they demonstrate by depositing at least $100k in a bank acct in the foreign country.

Certainly this type of visa preference can be abused, to the same extent that asylees may exagerate the true danger to themselves, that a fiancee may not truely be in love with her fiance or a student who has no interest in actually studying in the US.

At least all those who apply for any visa preference are required to submit an application, their identifying information is vetted against watch lists and govt databases, they are interviewed by a consular officer for a permanent visa, they submit their fingerprints and photograph and if approved, they tell the CBP Officer where they plan to live.

I'm less worried about a few thousand wealthy millionaires residing in the US than the thousands of "Jose and Marias", "Ying and Li" and "Mohamad and Haroon" you often refer to, who enter the country illegally. How is the security of the US enhanced when the govt does not know their background, does not know what they look like, where they live or even their true names.

I'm sure there are some wealthy Tunisians and Egyptians millionaires that are submitting their visa applications as you read this. It's not uncommon for wealthy foreign citizens of countries with political or economic turmoil to seek safe havens for their money and persons in Europe, asia or the US. If the US State Dept approves their applications, I personally welcome their yuans, reals, pesos or drachmas.

I've checked my depleted 401K resources and determined that I can qualify for an investor permanent visa to Laos, Uzbekistan and El Salvador!

My Name: Extremely nice to read such an enlightened and educated response. You have summed my point up nicely and in a manner which few should not be able to grasp. Thank you, Fred

@ My Name: Thank you for the informative post, rational and well thought out. And thanks for the calmative effect your post has had on the more "imaginative" residents on here!

You can hardly blame anyone from wanting to get out of Mexico right now ... who wouldn't want to escape the violence and hopelessness? The fact that only 34 Mexicans applied for an EB-5 visa last year tells that this particular issue has ZERO chance of becoming a problem, at least for now.

Before this is all over ... wealthy Americans may be leaving the USA in droves and going to places like Canada, Costa Rica, Singapore, and anywhere else that will take them. The USA has been lucky that our law enforcement agencies have stayed on top of crime as well as they have over the last decade. But as our economy continues to founder and local police are fired from their jobs - the chances of rising crime rates seem pretty good.

P.

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