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October 18, 2010


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This is very interesting, but it's also saddening, the fact we may never know what happened to these people, I do hope they are able to find them alive and well and it's all just one big misunderstanding.

If you're in the middle of a turf war and you see 20 unknown guys stuffed in four cars riding in a convoy . . . . . yeah, I can see how someone would look at that and say 'somebody's trying to muscle in. We'll show them!'. DOH!

Sylvia ... the "missing 20" in Acapulco does add up - but as you correctly pointed out, it doesn't add up to the story that the Mexican Government wants the public to hear.

First, let's face it - the Mexican economy is in serious trouble. The revenues they have received from oil production over the last decade are now dwindling fast. Therefore, Calderon is doing everything he can to stimulate local business ... including tourism. The last thing that Mexican Gov't needs is news of a massacre of 20 unarmed tourists in one of their major tourist centers (Acapulco). That is apparently what happened.

The REAL message is that the cartels have boosted their surveillance activities to very high levels. Think about it. Twenty strangers arrived in several vehicles in Acapulco, and in less than an hour they were identified, selected as a potential threat, and kidnapped at gunpoint. This incident shows that the complex network of informants that are being run by the cartels is very sophisticated and active in its operations - and so is the enforcement capability.

It's too bad that some of these 20 victims didn't try to make a break for it. If they had all split up and run in different directions, some of them might have lived. Tragically, the presumption is that these men have probably been killed.

Thanks for posting this...

Although we will never likely find out what occurred to the missing individuals I’m interesting in who knew about their trips from both the points of origin and destination.

As one of your commentators noted, there appears an indication that a well placed informant network exists. Where that network exists is another story…and one that is muddled since it appears all the missing persons left the same point of origin. So, through whom would all these person coordinate their trips? Who would have known the vehicles they were driving and how many people were traveling together…etc?

At the point of destination…who coordinated their arrivals…who had access to that information..etc…? Those appear to the two starting points I would begin looking into based on the information provided in the article you cite.


Mexico Security Memo: Nov. 1, 2010
November 1, 2010 2006 GMT
Links emerged between La Familia Michoacana and a group of 20 people kidnapped in Acapulco in early October. (With STRATFOR interactive map) [more]

Comments please, I do not have access to the full transcript.
Thank you.

@Bill - I have the full transcript, and will post an update probably later this evening.

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