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I am a consultant and analyst with eight years of military law enforcement experience, six years of analytical experience covering Latin America, and over seven years of analytical experience covering Mexican TCOs and border violence issues. This blog is designed to inform readers about current border violence issues and provide analysis on those issues, as well as detailed focus on specific border topics. By applying my knowledge and experience through this blog, I hope to separate the wheat from the chaff...that is, dispel rumors propagated by sensationalist media reporting, explain in layman's terms what is going on with Mexican TCOs, and most importantly, WHY violence is happening along the US-Mexico border.

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With over a dozen years of combined experience in military law enforcement, force protection analysis, and writing a variety of professional products for the US Air Force, state government in California, and the general public, Ms. Longmire has the expertise to create a superior product for you or your agency to further your understanding of Mexico’s drug war. Longmire Consulting is dedicated to being on the cusp of the latest developments in Mexico in order to bring you the best possible analysis of threats posed by the drug violence south of the border.

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August 11, 2010

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Thought you'd enjoy a vivisection on that...

I swear, you can almost hear their axes grind while Dvorak, Brewer at al stubbornly cling to their FUD agenda.

Not to validate the so called "take-over" but it would be possible for the Border Patrol to send assets if the location is within their area of responsibility (i.e. Tactical Units, Intel Units, etc...).

@Tea - Thanks for clarifying...I wasn't 100% sure on that, although it seemed to make more sense to me that the FBI would go in before USBP. Good to know they'd have that capability.

I'm with you, Sylvia. Way too many things don't add up...especially now, almost a month out from the supposed blotter entry. Shouldn't we know by now if the Zetas are still there, what they're doing if they're still there, and what happened to the original residents. I mean, they're not all hanging out on the back porch with the SWAT team sipping cold ones! It shouldn't have been too tough for the "reporter" to follow up with the relevant agencies by now. Very odd....

Can someone organize a trip to the ranch? I'd pay good money to take a look at real live Zeta's in the USA. I'll even provide my own flak jacket.

Personally I think this whole story is a distraction. As we both previously noted - the Zetas could easily buy a border ranch in the USA if they wanted to, and then operate it through legal proxies. I wouldn't be surprised if they have already done this.

Much more worrisome is the news today that Edelmiro Cavazos, Mayor of Santiago (near Monterrey) was murdered by cartel killers. When you add this event to the recent death of Rodolfo Torre - then a pattern of high-level intimidation is clearly emerging. The northern half of Mexico will become a "failed state" controlled by lawless cartels if President Calderon doesn't take radical action quickly. You could argue that the northern states are already out of control - but clearly things are deteriorating quickly.

As a follow-up, it's being reported that Mexican authorities have arrested at least 6 police officers from the area around Monterrey in connection with the death of Edelmiro Cavazos. This arrest is not surprising - given that the policeman who was supposedly acting as Cavazos' bodyguard was released 15 minutes after the mayor was abducted. That automatically raises suspicions that the bodyguard was involved. And that pattern of behavior is hardly new in Mexico. The cartels often threaten or bribe bodyguards, in order to get to their intended targets. So having a "personal protection service" is not much of a guarantee of safety in Mexico.

However ... it's interesting that these arrests come so quickly. When Calderon puts on pressure - suddenly the "guilty" turn up in police custody.

There are a lot of unanswered questions on the Cavazos issue. How was it that seven police vehicles (operated by the Zetas) with flashing lights could drive brazenly at night through Santiago to the mayor's house - without being stopped by a police or army checkpoint?? These seven vehicles pulled up in the driveway of the mayor's house and then carried out the kidnapping. How is it possible that the Zetas can comandeer cars and trucks and use them to block off major highways around Monterrey ... and seem to do this almost at will?

There is clearly deep corruption going on.

It was true, http://www.northstarnational.com/2010/08/11/mexican-drug-cartel-takeover-of-texas-ranch-was-real-after-all/

@Intel - I don't think you fully read my blog post. It specifically references the story in the North Star National and debunks it.

It appears that this fabricated story has been traced back to a person in Ca. by the name of Jeff Schwilk, and a friend of his in Texas. For those who don’t know, Schwilk was/is one of the Minutemen leaders, and always looking for ways to promote trouble on the border. From what I have learned it appears that what lead to the first ‘’media’’ reports of this story was in fact a staged 911 call. Personally I’d like to see the FBI getting involved in this, before we end up with another Shawna Forde / ‘’Gunny’’ Bush child murdering crime scene.

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