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I am a consultant and analyst with eight years of military law enforcement experience, six years of analytical experience covering Latin America, and over seven years of analytical experience covering Mexican TCOs and border violence issues. This blog is designed to inform readers about current border violence issues and provide analysis on those issues, as well as detailed focus on specific border topics. By applying my knowledge and experience through this blog, I hope to separate the wheat from the chaff...that is, dispel rumors propagated by sensationalist media reporting, explain in layman's terms what is going on with Mexican TCOs, and most importantly, WHY violence is happening along the US-Mexico border.


With over a dozen years of combined experience in military law enforcement, force protection analysis, and writing a variety of professional products for the US Air Force, state government in California, and the general public, Ms. Longmire has the expertise to create a superior product for you or your agency to further your understanding of Mexico’s drug war. Longmire Consulting is dedicated to being on the cusp of the latest developments in Mexico in order to bring you the best possible analysis of threats posed by the drug violence south of the border.

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June 19, 2010


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On duty NPD officers are in town. Off duty NPD live all over the county. This expands their ability to see crime throughout the region. It is possible that the DTO know where the NPD will be on duty as they have an inside person? But that person has no way of knowing where all off duty people are. In a few years we will be talking about how officers in the U.S. take bribes just to stay alive and then we will all be yelling, "we need to secure the border." The Mexican way of life is coming to a town near you. Slowly but surely! Please don't complain when it happens. "You asked for it and you got it", will be my response to the general public. But atleast the police didn't profile anyone while the community when to... we you know.

O.K. I meant to say "went to...." That rant done and on to another.... :) All the hype about the border could end with a middle ground approach. From 1070 to securing the border is doable. There is a long term plan of leaving things as they are. Business loves it as does one political party. Mexico gives us their poor and gets a return of money form the U.S. instead of fixing their own problems. Actually securing the border means BP will have to work themselves out of a job (or atleast a leveling of future budgets.) Business will pay more for labor. Agreement results in no way to score political points for the politicians. As I see it the status quo is a lose, lose, racist policy. We continue to suffer the security problems brought on by basicly open borders. The migrants continue to get low wages and no benefits (been going on for YEARS.) Hey, secure the border (where people getting through is rare instead of the norm) then ask for a path to citizenship for the legal immigrants. If the border where secure I believe the open border and closed border crowds could find a middle ground of increasing legal immigration with a path to citizenship. Due to the illegals being political and economic pawns I don't believe a solution is in our future. It seems racist to me for business looking for cheap labor to abuse the illegals. It seems racist to me for a continuing of abuse by politician looking for votes (by calling the other side racists while locking illegals into an economic and legal shadow land.)

I've been reading your blog for only a few weeks now. Stumbled upon it by chance but I do believe and agree with a lot of the things you post.

Just out of curiosity, do you truly think the types of things we see going on within Mexico will actually take place on the American side. While yes I know we have seen violence and other issues but we haven't seen the violence level in the same way Mexico is. I just wonder if these cartels are smart enough to know if doing something like what they are doing in their country here would bring a wrath of hell on them. I just don't think they are stupid enough to bring their violence and threats that far on the other side of the border. While I understand we (America) sit back and "allow" the minor violence and border crossing to happen, I just don't see the cartels being that stupid to actually target our police force on our side. I think if a police force was wiped out such as is happening in their own back yards the US would finally do something about this issue and consider this an act of war. Threats can be scary enough but I wonder if they would ever carry them out knowing what kind of hell it would bring. What do you think?

It’s ruff at times making heads or tails out of an event where the only information a person has comes by way of a news media article. In fact most often all we really have in such are sound bites, pieces of an event which someone (s) decided to share for whatever reason (s) with the public via the news media. Often the real story has less to do with the published account of the event which has been presented. I believe this is one of those times.
While stranger things have happened I am sure, I none the less find it quite odd that a ‘’Cartel’’ would choose to pass on a threat to law enforcement by way of an ‘’informant’’. Such a primus would beg the question: If the Cartel new the person chosen to deliver such a message would in fact do so…just how reliable an informant is this person actually then to U.S. Law enforcement? So I have a problem with the account given via the media as to how this threat was delivered. That is of course not to say that such a threat was not in fact delivered in such a manner, but rather only to question the true worth, and loyalty of such an informant. Quite likely there is much more at play with this than a supposed threat to NPD officers choosing to work off the clock. I believe Bryan in his first post touched nicely upon the underlying story here, and of where the greatest concern should fall.


Sounds like the cartels are watching cops on the US side of the border pretty closely - and generally know where they are during the daytime. Apparently they don't like surprises.

How long before law enforcement in this country starts getting the same offer (from the drug kingpins) as policemen in Mexico ... "silver or bullets?".


There is a status quo in Nogales and if NPD goes against it, there will be consequences. If any real action were to come from this, I'd be surprised, as many DTOs would much rather work in the shadows.



Whomever thinks there is a distinction between "that's business" and "That's personal" is smoking a prohibitive substance. There is no distinction whatsoever. "you interfer and you dead". Plata o Plomo rules for these folks.

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