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I am a consultant and analyst with eight years of military law enforcement experience, six years of analytical experience covering Latin America, and over seven years of analytical experience covering Mexican TCOs and border violence issues. This blog is designed to inform readers about current border violence issues and provide analysis on those issues, as well as detailed focus on specific border topics. By applying my knowledge and experience through this blog, I hope to separate the wheat from the chaff...that is, dispel rumors propagated by sensationalist media reporting, explain in layman's terms what is going on with Mexican TCOs, and most importantly, WHY violence is happening along the US-Mexico border.

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With over a dozen years of combined experience in military law enforcement, force protection analysis, and writing a variety of professional products for the US Air Force, state government in California, and the general public, Ms. Longmire has the expertise to create a superior product for you or your agency to further your understanding of Mexico’s drug war. Longmire Consulting is dedicated to being on the cusp of the latest developments in Mexico in order to bring you the best possible analysis of threats posed by the drug violence south of the border.

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May 12, 2010

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Or here are two other possibilities:

1) Since the bride was from Juarez, and since both she and her family went completely unscathed, is it possible that someone in a DTO resented the fact that she was getting married to an American? A personal thing?

OR

2) This hit by the DTO had nothing to do with the background of the victims at all - except that they were US citizens. Instead, it was meant as a message to US law enforcement - maybe a retaliation for something that US authorities have done recently. Wasn't there a Mexican drug lord who was extradited to the US? You should look into this connection.

As to "P"'s comments- #1 could be a remote possibility but I would discard #2. Plenty of U.S. citizens cross into Juarez, Nvo Laredo, Tijuana, Nogales (Sonora) on a daily basis for business, family, or they may actually live on the Mexican side for various reasons. If U.S. citizens were targets we would have seen these people attacked way before the wedding incident. Yes the reasons stated in the analysis may be cynical but they are very true. The only other scenario possible, although unlikely, would be the "calentar la plaza", where rival cartels go into an area dominated by an enemy cartel and strike randomly at innocent civilians, police and the military in order to ramp up instability and provoke a clampdown to weaken the dominant cartel. As horrible as it sounds this tactic is used by the more ruthless cartels such as the Zetas and the warring BLO factions.

I found a site that goes into great detail of what is going on in Mexico's Narco-Wars. Be warned because it is graphic in nature.
http://todosobrenarcotraficoenmexico.blogspot.com/

No update for a while. cat got your tongue?

Hi D, and thanks for missing me :). I'm working hard-core on revisions to a book proposal that my agent is shopping around to publishers right now, so that's taking up the bulk of my writing time. Rest assured, I'm still following the issues every day, and I'm only slacking off a little bit :).

Meant no disrespect. I enjoy your analysis, and was waiting to hear something about Diego or Nacho's possible arrest. Good luck on your book proposal and take care!

Best,

D

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